Deep Research with Paul AI
Orders
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?
Jan 01, 2026
Paul’s Insight
The prediction markets indicate strong consensus that Bitcoin will reach at least $100,000 by the end of 2025, with very high confidence for $100K–$125K thresholds. Markets assign extremely low probability to Bitcoin exceeding $150,000 or reaching speculative figures such as $200,000 or $1,000,000. Dips below $80,000 are seen as very unlikely. This reflects market participants' belief in continued medium-term bullish growth but tempered by cautious skepticism toward extreme price surges. Influencing factors likely include historical price movement, Bitcoin halving effects, institutional adoption, global economic conditions, and regulatory environment. Opportunities appear strongest for those betting on thresholds between $100K–$130K, while the major risk lies in unexpected macro events or regulatory shocks. Prediction reliability is high due to the strong consensus and liquidity suggesting informed participation, but unanticipated black swan events always pose residual risk.
View More
↑ 95,000
47%
Yes47
No52
↓ 80,000
22%Yes22
AINo77
↑ 100,000
21%Yes21
No79
↓ 75,000
8%Yes8
No91
↑ 105,000
8%Yes8
No92
↑ 110,000
4%Yes4
No95
↓ 70,000
3%Yes3
AINo96
↑ 115,000
2%Yes2
No97
↓ 65,000
1%Yes1
No98
↑ 120,000
1%Yes1
No98
Rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 2, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Insight Sources
